Europe UEFA Nations League Fri 13 Nov 2026 · Hristo Botev Stadium Upcoming

Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction: Under 3.5 goals

9jaTips verdict Under 3.5 goals

We see 2.3 goals, which stays under 3.5. 78% in our numbers. Fairly priced at 1.25.

78%chance Odds1.25 Score0–1

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Odds board

Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pick

Match result

1 · Bulgaria4.7512% X · Draw3.6024% 2 · Iceland1.7365%

Double chance

1X2.0035% 121.2876% X21.1788%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3369% Under 1.53.2531%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1042% Under 2.51.7058%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.7522% Under 3.51.2578%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.0049% NG · No1.7351%

Half-time result

HT 15.0012% HT X2.1044% HT 22.3044%

Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.

Match notes

by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips desk

The big picture

The visitors are the team to beat: Iceland at 65%, Bulgaria only 12%. In the Europe UEFA Nations League table, Bulgaria sit 3rd (4 pts) and Iceland 1st (8 pts).

Form check

Bulgaria have won one of their last six (W L D L D L). Last time out they beat Luxembourg 2–0 away. Goals have dried up, though: 0.8 a game.

Iceland have won two of their last six (D W W D L L). Last time out they drew with Estonia 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Add 3 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.

Past meetings

Most recently (Oct 2026): Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria.

Goals outlook

We expect around 2.3 goals (Bulgaria 0.6, Iceland 1.7). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 42%, GG 49%.

Our call

Our tip: Under 3.5 goals – 78% in our model, around 1.25 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Bulgaria 0–1 Iceland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.