Ukraine vs Georgia prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Chances should be few: around 2.1 goals in total. 79% in our numbers. Fairly priced at 1.26.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Ukraine shade it at home (44% against 36% for Georgia), but this is far from settled. In the Europe UEFA Nations League table, Ukraine sit 3rd (4 pts) and Georgia 4th (2 pts).
Form check
Recent run for Ukraine: L L D W W W – three wins in six. Last time out they lost to Hungary 1–2 at home. The worry is at the other end – only 0.8 goals per game. Add 4 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Georgia arrive with one win from their last six games (D L D L W D). Last time out they drew with Northern Ireland 0–0 away. Goals have dried up, though: 0.5 a game. Add 3 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Past meetings
Most recently (Sep 2026): Georgia 0–0 Ukraine.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.1 goals (Ukraine 1.1, Georgia 0.9). Expect a tight one: under 2.5 sits at 58%.
Our call
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals – 79% in our model, around 1.26 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Ukraine 1–0 Georgia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ukraine
last 6- Lv Hungary1–25 Oct
- Lv Northern Ireland0–32 Oct
- D@ Georgia0–028 Sep
- W@ Hungary1–025 Sep
- W@ Poland2–031 May
- Wv Albania1–031 Mar
Georgia
last 6- D@ Northern Ireland0–05 Oct
- L@ Hungary0–12 Oct
- Dv Ukraine0–028 Sep
- Lv Northern Ireland0–125 Sep
- Wv Bahrain2–05 Jun
- Dv Romania1–12 Jun
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →- 28 Sep 2026Georgia0–0Ukraine
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | -2 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Ukraine vs Georgia?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.26.
Who will win Ukraine vs Georgia?
Our model has Ukraine at 44%, the draw at 21% and Georgia at 36%.
What is the correct score prediction for Ukraine vs Georgia?
Our most likely score is Ukraine 1–0 Georgia.
Will there be goals in Ukraine vs Georgia?
We expect about 2.1 goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
When is Ukraine vs Georgia?
Tuesday 17 November 2026, 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT) – UEFA Nations League.