Kenya vs South Africa prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Kenya (1.1) and South Africa (1.4) together point to 2.5 goals. 67% in our numbers. The odds (1.46) are about right.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
South Africa edge it on the road (51% against 26%). In the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table, Kenya sit 3rd (6 pts) and South Africa 1st (14 pts).
Form check
Kenya arrive with two wins from their last six games (D L D W D W). Last time out they drew with South Africa 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
South Africa arrive with four wins from their last six games (D W W W L W). Last time out they drew with Kenya 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Add 3 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Past meetings
Most recently (Nov 2026): South Africa 2–2 Kenya.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.5 goals (Kenya 1.1, South Africa 1.4). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 42%, GG 46%.
Our call
We are backing Over 1.5 goals – 67% in our model, around 1.46 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Kenya 1–2 South Africa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Kenya
last 6- D@ South Africa2–213 Nov
- L@ Guinea0–11 Oct
- Dv Eritrea1–126 Sep
- Wv Lesotho4–07 Jun
- D@ Lesotho1–14 Jun
- W@ Grenada3–030 Mar
South Africa
last 6- Dv Kenya2–213 Nov
- W@ Egypt1–04 Oct
- W@ Eritrea5–030 Sep
- Wv Guinea2–126 Sep
- Lv Canada0–128 Jun
- Wv South Korea1–025 Jun
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →- 13 Nov 2026South Africa2–2Kenya
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
League page →
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Kenya vs South Africa?
We tip Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.46.
Who will win Kenya vs South Africa?
Our model has Kenya at 26%, the draw at 23% and South Africa at 51%.
What is the correct score prediction for Kenya vs South Africa?
Our most likely score is Kenya 1–2 South Africa.
Will there be goals in Kenya vs South Africa?
We expect about 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
When is Kenya vs South Africa?
Tuesday 17 November 2026, 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT), at Nyayo National Stadium – Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification.