UD Ourense vs Mérida AD prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Chances should be few: around 2.4 goals in total. 76% in our numbers. UD Ourense are coming off a defeat (LWDL), while Mérida AD won last time out (WLD). At 1.25 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Mérida AD edge it on the road (53% against 26%). In the Spain Primera División RFEF Group 1 table, UD Ourense sit 20th (8 pts) and Mérida AD 8th (16 pts).
Form check
Recent run for UD Ourense: L W D L L W – two wins in six. Last time out they lost to Pontevedra 0–1 away. The worry is at the other end – only 0.5 goals per game.
Recent run for Mérida AD: W L D W W W – four wins in six. Last time out they beat Athletic Club II 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Add 4 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.4 goals (UD Ourense 0.9, Mérida AD 1.5). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 44%, GG 47%.
Our call
The 9jaTips call is Under 3.5 goals – 76% in our model, around 1.25 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: UD Ourense 0–1 Mérida AD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
UD Ourense
last 6- L@ Pontevedra0–17 Nov
- Wv Cultural Leonesa1–01 Nov
- D@ Gimnástica Torrelavega1–129 Oct
- L@ Arenas Getxo0–224 Oct
- L@ Real Avilés0–318 Oct
- Wv Barakaldo1–010 Oct
Mérida AD
last 6- Wv Athletic Club II2–08 Nov
- L@ Lugo1–21 Nov
- Dv CD Coria0–025 Oct
- W@ Arenas Getxo4–018 Oct
- W@ Pontevedra2–111 Oct
- Wv Cacereño2–04 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
Primera División RFEF Group 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 11 | +10 | 28 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Pontevedra | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 |  Real Avilés | 11 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 |  Racing Ferrol | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 |  Mérida AD | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club II | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cacereño | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Ponferradina | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 |  Barakaldo | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Real Unión | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |  Zamora | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 19 |  Arenas Getxo | 11 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 |  UD Ourense | 11 | -12 | 8 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.25.
Who will win UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?
Our model has UD Ourense at 26%, the draw at 22% and Mérida AD at 53%.
What is the correct score prediction for UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?
Our most likely score is UD Ourense 0–1 Mérida AD.
Will there be goals in UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?
We expect about 2.4 goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%.
When is UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT), at Estadio de O Couto – Primera División RFEF Group 1.