Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata prediction: Under 3.5 goals
A tight game – only about 2.9 goals expected. That gives this tip a 64% chance. Nobody has beaten Omiya Ardija in their last 3 (WWW), while Montedio Yamagata are coming off a defeat (LWWL). The odds (1.53) are about right.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Omiya Ardija go in as clear favourites (60%) and anything but a home win would be a surprise. In the Japan J2 League table, Omiya Ardija sit 5th (30 pts) and Montedio Yamagata 14th (19 pts).
Form check
Omiya Ardija have won three of their last six (W W W D L L). Last time out they beat Tochigi City 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Recent run for Montedio Yamagata: L W W L L D – two wins in six. Last time out they lost to Iwaki 0–2 away. The worry is at the other end – only 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.9 goals (Omiya Ardija 1.9, Montedio Yamagata 1.0). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 58%, GG 58%.
Our call
The 9jaTips call is Under 3.5 goals – 64% in our model, around 1.53 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Omiya Ardija 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Omiya Ardija
last 6- W@ Tochigi City3–08 Nov
- Wv Iwaki2–13 Nov
- W@ Vegalta Sendai2–131 Oct
- Dv Yokohama FC2–224 Oct
- Lv Kataller Toyama0–321 Oct
- L@ Sagan Tosu1–217 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
last 6- L@ Iwaki0–27 Nov
- Wv Tokushima Vortis1–03 Nov
- W@ Vanraure Hachinohe2–131 Oct
- Lv Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–225 Oct
- Lv Consadole Sapporo0–221 Oct
- D@ Fujieda MYFC0–017 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
J2 League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.53.
Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our model has Omiya Ardija at 60%, the draw at 19% and Montedio Yamagata at 21%.
What is the correct score prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our most likely score is Omiya Ardija 1–0 Montedio Yamagata.
Will there be goals in Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.9 goals: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 58%.
When is Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 06:00 Nigerian time (WAT), at NACK5 Stadium Omiya – J2 League.