Covadonga vs Astur prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Plenty of goals in this one – around 3.3 expected. That gives this tip a 63% chance. At 1.46 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Home advantage and form make Covadonga firm favourites here at 73%. In the Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 2 table, Covadonga sit 1st (23 pts) and Astur 16th (6 pts).
Form check
Recent run for Covadonga: W D L W W L – three wins in six. Last time out they beat Andes 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 per game.
Astur arrive with zero wins from their last six games (D L D D D D). Last time out they drew with Ceares 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
We expect around 3.3 goals (Covadonga 2.5, Astur 0.8). Good signs for goals: 63% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.
Our call
We are backing Over 2.5 goals – 63% in our model, around 1.46 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Covadonga 3–0 Astur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Covadonga
last 6- W@ Andes3–28 Nov
- Dv Condal1–11 Nov
- Lv Valladolid0–129 Oct
- W@ Gijón Industrial2–025 Oct
- Wv Mosconia4–018 Oct
- L@ San Martín2–411 Oct
Astur
last 6- Dv Ceares0–08 Nov
- L@ Llanes0–11 Nov
- D@ Andes3–325 Oct
- Dv Condal1–118 Oct
- D@ Gijón Industrial2–211 Oct
- Dv Mosconia0–04 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
Tercera División RFEF Group 2 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Covadonga | 10 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Sporting Gijón II | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Lealtad | 10 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Condal | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Caudal | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Gijón Industrial | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Mosconia | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  San Martín | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Praviano | 10 | +6 | 14 |
| 10 |  Langreo | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Siero | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Colunga | 10 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Avilés Stadium | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Llanes | 10 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Ceares | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Astur | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  L'Entregu | 10 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 |  Andes | 10 | -13 | 3 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Covadonga vs Astur?
We tip Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.46.
Who will win Covadonga vs Astur?
Our model has Covadonga at 73%, the draw at 19% and Astur at 9%.
What is the correct score prediction for Covadonga vs Astur?
Our most likely score is Covadonga 3–0 Astur.
Will there be goals in Covadonga vs Astur?
We expect about 3.3 goals: over 2.5 at 63%, both teams to score at 53%.
When is Covadonga vs Astur?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:00 Nigerian time (WAT) – Tercera División RFEF Group 2.