Castro vs Guarnizo prediction: Under 3.5 goals
We see 2.6 goals, which stays under 3.5. Chance: 73%. At 1.24 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.
How the fans voted
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Slight edge to Castro on home soil – 44% to 33%, with the draw at 24%. In the Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table, Castro sit 13th (8 pts) and Guarnizo 14th (8 pts).
Form check
Castro have won one of their last six (L L L W L L). Last time out they lost to Vimenor 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Guarnizo have won one of their last six (L L W L D D). Last time out they lost to Revilla 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up, though: 0.8 a game.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.6 goals (Castro 1.4, Guarnizo 1.2). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 47%, GG 51%.
Our call (settled)
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals – 73% in our model, around 1.24 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Castro 1–0 Guarnizo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Castro
last 6- L@ Vimenor0–38 Nov
- Lv Barquereño0–131 Oct
- L@ Naval Reinosa1–225 Oct
- Wv Escobedo3–017 Oct
- L@ Atlético Albericia2–410 Oct
- Lv Tropezón0–24 Oct
Guarnizo
last 6- Lv Revilla0–37 Nov
- L@ Solares0–131 Oct
- Wv Selaya1–025 Oct
- L@ Laredo2–417 Oct
- Dv Bezana1–110 Oct
- D@ Torina1–13 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tropezón | 10 | +16 | 26 |
| 2 |  Cayón | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Sámano | 11 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Laredo | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 5 |  Revilla | 10 | +11 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bezana | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Vimenor | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  Torina | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 |  Atlético Mineros | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atlético Albericia | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Solares | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Naval Reinosa | 11 | -12 | 9 |
| 13 |  Castro | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |  Guarnizo | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Selaya | 11 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Barquereño | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Escobedo | 11 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Velarde | 11 | -12 | 7 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Castro vs Guarnizo?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.24.
Who will win Castro vs Guarnizo?
Our model has Castro at 44%, the draw at 24% and Guarnizo at 33%.
What is the correct score prediction for Castro vs Guarnizo?
Our most likely score is Castro 1–0 Guarnizo.
Will there be goals in Castro vs Guarnizo?
We expect about 2.6 goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
When is Castro vs Guarnizo?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT) – Tercera División RFEF Group 3.