Móstoles vs Trival Valderas prediction: Under 3.5 goals
A tight game – only about 2.7 goals expected. That gives this tip a 69% chance. Low odds (1.36), so use it in a combo rather than alone.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Móstoles shade it at home (57% against 19% for Trival Valderas), but this is far from settled. In the Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table, Móstoles sit 1st (23 pts) and Trival Valderas 8th (15 pts).
Form check
Recent run for Móstoles: W W W W L D – four wins in six. Last time out they beat Parla Escuela 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 per game.
Recent run for Trival Valderas: L D D D D L – zero wins in six. Last time out they lost to Leganes 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. No clean sheet in any of those games.
Past meetings
Most recently (Apr 2026): Trival Valderas 1–0 Móstoles.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.7 goals (Móstoles 1.8, Trival Valderas 0.9). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 53%, GG 58%.
Our call
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals – 69% in our model, around 1.36 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Móstoles 1–0 Trival Valderas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Móstoles
last 6- W@ Parla Escuela3–18 Nov
- Wv RC Alcobendas5–11 Nov
- W@ Villanueva Pardillo6–125 Oct
- Wv Galapagar3–018 Oct
- L@ Unión Adarve1–211 Oct
- Dv Leganés II1–14 Oct
Trival Valderas
last 6- Lv Leganes0–110 Nov
- D@ RC Alcobendas1–18 Nov
- Dv Galapagar2–21 Nov
- D@ Leganés II2–225 Oct
- Dv Cala Pozuelo2–218 Oct
- L@ Rayo Vallecano II0–111 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →- 12 Apr 2026Trival Valderas1–0Móstoles
Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Móstoles | 10 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 |  Colonia Moscardó | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 |  Las Rozas | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Galapagar | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Cala Pozuelo | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unión Adarve | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Leganés II | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 |  Trival Valderas | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Pozuelo Alarcón | 10 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Torrejón | 10 | +7 | 14 |
| 11 |  Fuenlabrada | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Parla Escuela | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Real Aranjuez | 10 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano II | 10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  RC Alcobendas | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Alcobendas Sport | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |  SS Reyes II | 10 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Villanueva Pardillo | 10 | -19 | 7 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.36.
Who will win Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
Our model has Móstoles at 57%, the draw at 24% and Trival Valderas at 19%.
What is the correct score prediction for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
Our most likely score is Móstoles 1–0 Trival Valderas.
Will there be goals in Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
We expect about 2.7 goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
When is Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 11:45 Nigerian time (WAT) – Tercera División RFEF Group 7.