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Italy Serie D Girone D Sun 15 Nov 2026 Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
63%Varesina24%Draw14%Pontedera

Varesina vs Pontedera prediction: Varesina or draw

9jaTips verdict Varesina or draw

Only a Varesina defeat beats this one, and we rate that at just 14%. Varesina are coming off a defeat (LWD). At 1.23 the bookmakers are paying more than it should be (our fair price is 1.16).

86%chance Odds1.23 Score2–0

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Odds board

Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pick

Match result

1 · Varesina1.8263% X · Draw3.4524% 2 · Pontedera3.7514%

Double chance

1X1.2386% 121.2676% X21.8037%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2779% · fair Under 1.54.7021% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7254% Under 2.51.9346%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.0033% · fair Under 3.51.5067% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1846% · fair NG · No1.8454% · fair

Half-time result

HT 12.3747% HT X2.1538% HT 24.1515%

Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.

Match notes

by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips desk

The big picture

Home advantage and form make Varesina firm favourites here at 63%. In the Italy Serie D Girone D table, Varesina sit 14th (11 pts) and Pontedera 16th (7 pts).

Form check

Recent run for Varesina: L W D D D D – one win in six. Last time out they lost to Coriano 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Pontedera arrive with two wins from their last six games (L W D L W L). Last time out they lost to Solbiatese 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. No clean sheet in any of those games.

Goals outlook

We expect around 2.9 goals (Varesina 2.0, Pontedera 0.9). Good signs for goals: 54% for over 2.5, 46% for both teams to score.

Our call

Our tip: Varesina or draw – 86% in our model, around 1.23 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Varesina 2–0 Pontedera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Varesina

last 6
  • L@ Coriano1–28 Nov
  • Wv Città di Varese3–11 Nov
  • D@ Castellanzese1–125 Oct
  • Dv Pro Sesto0–018 Oct
  • D@ Pavia2–211 Oct
  • Dv Pro Patria0–04 Oct
1.2scored / game1.0conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Pontedera

last 6
  • Lv Solbiatese0–18 Nov
  • W@ Arconatese4–31 Nov
  • Dv Oltrepò1–125 Oct
  • L@ Crema1–418 Oct
  • W@ Coriano2–114 Oct
  • L@ Lentigione0–211 Oct
1.3scored / game2.0conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

These two have not met in our records.

Serie D Girone D table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

Frequently asked questions

What is the 9jaTips prediction for Varesina vs Pontedera?

We tip Varesina or draw – a 86% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.23.

Who will win Varesina vs Pontedera?

Our model has Varesina at 63%, the draw at 24% and Pontedera at 14%.

What is the correct score prediction for Varesina vs Pontedera?

Our most likely score is Varesina 2–0 Pontedera.

Will there be goals in Varesina vs Pontedera?

We expect about 2.9 goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 46%.

When is Varesina vs Pontedera?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT) – Serie D Girone D.