AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite prediction: Under 2.5 goals
A tight game – only about 1.7 goals expected. 66% in our numbers. AFC Leopards have been up and down (DDD). At 1.62 the bookmakers are paying more than it should be (our fair price is 1.51).
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Home advantage and form make AFC Leopards firm favourites here at 70%. In the Kenya FKF Premier League table, AFC Leopards sit 3rd (10 pts) and Mombasa Elite 18th (1 pts).
Form check
AFC Leopards have won two of their last six (D D D W D W). Last time out they drew with 3K 0–0 away. The worry is at the other end – only 0.7 goals per game. Add 5 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Mombasa Elite have won one of their last six (L L L L L W). Last time out they lost to Shabana 2–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. No clean sheet in any of those games.
Goals outlook
We expect around 1.7 goals (AFC Leopards 1.4, Mombasa Elite 0.2). Chances may be scarce – under 2.5 comes in at 66%.
Our call
The 9jaTips call is Under 2.5 goals – 66% in our model, around 1.62 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: AFC Leopards 1–0 Mombasa Elite. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
AFC Leopards
last 6- D@ 3K0–07 Nov
- D@ Mara Sugar0–028 Oct
- Dv Shabana0–025 Oct
- W@ Kenya Police2–120 Oct
- Dv Bandari0–014 Oct
- Wv Homeboyz2–02 Oct
Mombasa Elite
last 6- Lv Shabana2–37 Nov
- L@ KCB1–328 Oct
- L@ Mara Sugar1–219 Oct
- Lv Homeboyz0–114 Oct
- L@ Migori Youth0–22 Oct
- Wv Kariobangi Sharks2–11 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
We tip Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.62.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
Our model has AFC Leopards at 70%, the draw at 21% and Mombasa Elite at 8%.
What is the correct score prediction for AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
Our most likely score is AFC Leopards 1–0 Mombasa Elite.
Will there be goals in AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
We expect about 1.7 goals: over 2.5 at 34%, both teams to score at 43%.
When is AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 13:30 Nigerian time (WAT) – FKF Premier League.