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Wales Welsh Cup Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Latham Park Upcoming
Saturday · WAT
62%Newtown AFC14%Draw24%Caerphilly Athletic

Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic prediction: Over 2.5 goals

9jaTips verdict Over 2.5 goals

Newtown AFC (2.3) and Caerphilly Athletic (1.3) together point to 3.7 goals. That gives this tip a 69% chance. Newtown AFC come in off a win (WWD). Low odds (1.36), so use it in a combo rather than alone.

69%chance Odds1.36 Score2–1

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Odds board

Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pick

Match result

1 · Newtown AFC1.4262% X · Draw4.4514% 2 · Caerphilly Athletic5.2024%

Double chance

1X1.0876% 121.1286% X22.4038%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1488% · fair Under 1.58.3112% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.3669% Under 2.52.7031%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.9848% Under 3.51.7152%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.4956% NG · No2.3444%

Half-time result

HT 11.8745% HT X2.5734% HT 25.0021%

Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.

Match notes

by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips desk

The big picture

Home advantage and form make Newtown AFC firm favourites here at 62%.

Form check

Newtown AFC have won four of their last six (W W D W D W). Last time out they beat Ruthin Town 2–0 away. Goals are not a problem: 2.5 a game in that spell. Add 4 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.

Caerphilly Athletic arrive with three wins from their last six games (L L W W W L). Last time out they lost to Afan Lido 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Goals outlook

We expect around 3.7 goals (Newtown AFC 2.3, Caerphilly Athletic 1.3). Good signs for goals: 69% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Our call

Our tip: Over 2.5 goals – 69% in our model, around 1.36 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Newtown AFC 2–1 Caerphilly Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Newtown AFC

last 6
  • W@ Ruthin Town2–06 Nov
  • Wv Buckley Town2–031 Oct
  • D@ Rhyl2–224 Oct
  • Wv Llanuwchllyn7–017 Oct
  • Dv Bangor City 1876 FC0–010 Oct
  • W@ Mold Alexandra2–13 Oct
2.5scored / game0.5conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Caerphilly Athletic

last 6
  • L@ Afan Lido2–36 Nov
  • Lv Caerau (Ely)0–130 Oct
  • W@ Carmarthen Town3–123 Oct
  • Wv Chepstow Town1–017 Oct
  • Wv Newport City3–29 Oct
  • L@ Swansea University1–33 Oct
1.7scored / game1.7conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

These two have not met in our records.

More Welsh Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the 9jaTips prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

We tip Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.36.

Who will win Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Our model has Newtown AFC at 62%, the draw at 14% and Caerphilly Athletic at 24%.

What is the correct score prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Our most likely score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Caerphilly Athletic.

Will there be goals in Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

We expect about 3.7 goals: over 2.5 at 69%, both teams to score at 56%.

When is Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT), at Latham Park – Welsh Cup.