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Peru Segunda División Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Villa Deportiva USMP Full time
1–1
Half-time 1–0
42%U. San Martin26%Draw32%Union Comercio

U. San Martin vs Union Comercio prediction: Over 1.5 goals

9jaTips verdict · Won ✓ Over 1.5 goals

We expect about 2.6 goals, above the 1.5 line. Chance: 70%. At 1.34 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.

70%chance Odds1.34 Score2–1

How the fans voted

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Odds board

Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pick

Match result

1 · U. San Martin2.3842% X · Draw2.9426% 2 · Union Comercio2.7732%

Double chance

1X1.3268% 121.2874% X21.4358%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3470% Under 1.52.7830%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1545% Under 2.51.6055%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.9524% Under 3.51.1776%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8452% NG · No1.8348%

Half-time result

HT 13.1433% HT X1.9043% HT 23.7623%

Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.

Match notes

by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips desk

The big picture

Slight edge to U. San Martin on home soil – 42% to 32%, with the draw at 26%. In the Peru Segunda División table, U. San Martin sit 5th (24 pts) and Union Comercio 1st (32 pts).

Form check

Recent run for U. San Martin: W L W W W L – four wins in six. Last time out they beat Alianza Universidad 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Union Comercio have won two of their last six (D L D W L W). Last time out they drew with Minas 3–3 at home. Goals are not a problem: 2.0 a game in that spell.

Past meetings

Most recently (Sep 2026): Union Comercio 1–0 U. San Martin.

Goals outlook

We expect around 2.6 goals (U. San Martin 1.4, Union Comercio 1.1). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 45%, GG 52%.

Our call (settled)

Our pre-match tip was Over 1.5 goals – 70% in our model, around 1.34 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: U. San Martin 2–1 Union Comercio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

U. San Martin

last 6
  • W@ Alianza Universidad1–031 Oct
  • Lv Carlos A. Mannucci1–225 Oct
  • W@ Bentín Tacna Heroica2–118 Oct
  • Wv Bentín Tacna Heroica2–011 Oct
  • Wv Alianza Universidad2–16 Oct
  • L@ Carlos A. Mannucci0–726 Sep
1.3scored / game1.8conceded50%GG67%over 2.5

Union Comercio

last 6
  • Dv Minas3–331 Oct
  • L@ Molinos El Pirata0–126 Oct
  • D@ Ayacucho FC1–118 Oct
  • Wv Ayacucho FC5–012 Oct
  • L@ Minas1–46 Oct
  • Wv Molinos El Pirata2–027 Sep
2.0scored / game1.5conceded50%GG50%over 2.5
  • 6 Sep 2026Union Comercio1–0U. San Martin

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio16952+1432
2Carlos A. Mannucci16934+1030
3Deportivo Llacuabamba16844+1328
4Molinos El Pirata16745+525
5U. San Martin16736+924
6Deportiva Agropecuaria15564+221
7Cesar Vallejo15546+119
8Academia Cantolao16358-1114
9San Marcos140014-430

Frequently asked questions

What is the 9jaTips prediction for U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

We tip Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.34.

Who will win U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

Our model has U. San Martin at 42%, the draw at 26% and Union Comercio at 32%.

What is the correct score prediction for U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

Our most likely score is U. San Martin 2–1 Union Comercio.

Will there be goals in U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

We expect about 2.6 goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.

When is U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:45 Nigerian time (WAT), at Villa Deportiva USMP – Segunda División.