Uruguay Primera División Apertura
Fri 13 Nov 2026 · Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Full time
Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Chances should be few: around 2.3 goals in total. 78% in our numbers. Low odds (1.22), so use it in a combo rather than alone.
How the fans voted
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Slight edge to Cerro Largo on home soil – 59% to 14%, with the draw at 26%. In the Uruguay Primera División Apertura table, Cerro Largo sit 15th (9 pts) and Progreso 7th (19 pts).
Form check
Cerro Largo arrive with one win from their last six games (L W L D L L). Last time out they lost to Racing Montevideo 1–3 away. The worry is at the other end – only 0.8 goals per game.
Recent run for Progreso: L W W D L W – three wins in six. Last time out they lost to Defensor Sporting 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Past meetings
Most recently (May 2026): Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.3 goals (Cerro Largo 1.6, Progreso 0.7). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 41%, GG 52%.
Our call (settled)
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals – 78% in our model, around 1.22 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Cerro Largo 1–0 Progreso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Cerro Largo
last 6- L@ Racing Montevideo1–331 Oct
- Wv Boston River2–025 Oct
- L@ Liverpool Montevideo0–121 Oct
- D@ Cerro1–116 Oct
- Lv Albion FC0–111 Oct
- L@ Danubio1–24 Oct
Progreso
last 6- Lv Defensor Sporting0–21 Nov
- W@ Wanderers1–025 Oct
- Wv Juventud2–017 Oct
- D@ Penarol1–110 Oct
- L@ Liverpool Montevideo2–33 Oct
- Wv Racing Montevideo2–126 Sep
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →- 3 May 2026Progreso0–1Cerro Largo
Primera División Apertura table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 35 | +24 | 65 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | +22 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 35 | +18 | 63 |
| 4 |  Club Nacional | 35 | +11 | 61 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 35 | +14 | 60 |
| 6 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | +16 | 59 |
| 7 |  Wanderers | 35 | -2 | 51 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 35 | +3 | 47 |
| 9 |  Juventud | 35 | -6 | 41 |
| 10 |  Central Espanol | 35 | -13 | 41 |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 35 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 35 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 |  Boston River | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 |  Cerro | 35 | -24 | 37 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 35 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 |  Danubio | 35 | -16 | 32 |
More Primera División Apertura predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.22.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Our model has Cerro Largo at 59%, the draw at 26% and Progreso at 14%.
What is the correct score prediction for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Our most likely score is Cerro Largo 1–0 Progreso.
Will there be goals in Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
We expect about 2.3 goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
When is Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Friday 13 November 2026, 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT), at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla – Primera División Apertura.