Italy U21 vs Belgium U21 prediction: Under 3.5 goals
A tight game – only about 2.4 goals expected. 73% in our numbers. The odds (1.31) are about right.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Italy U21 shade it at home (53% against 25% for Belgium U21), but this is far from settled.
Form check
Italy U21 have won six of their last six (W W W W W W). Last time out they beat France U21 2–1 away. Goals are not a problem: 3.0 a game in that spell. Add 4 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Belgium U21 arrive with four wins from their last six games (W D W W L W). Last time out they beat Germany U21 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Add 4 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.4 goals (Italy U21 1.5, Belgium U21 0.9). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 47%, GG 57%.
Our call
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals – 73% in our model, around 1.31 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Italy U21 1–0 Belgium U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Italy U21
last 6- W@ France U212–113 Nov
- Wv Poland U216–25 Oct
- W@ Armenia U211–01 Oct
- Wv Albania U211–08 Jun
- W@ Sweden U214–031 Mar
- Wv North Macedonia U214–026 Mar
Belgium U21
last 6- W@ Germany U212–113 Nov
- D@ Denmark U210–06 Oct
- Wv Wales U211–029 Sep
- Wv Belarus U211–024 Sep
- L@ Netherlands U211–230 Mar
- Wv Austria U211–027 Mar
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
More Friendlies predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.31.
Who will win Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
Our model has Italy U21 at 53%, the draw at 22% and Belgium U21 at 25%.
What is the correct score prediction for Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
Our most likely score is Italy U21 1–0 Belgium U21.
Will there be goals in Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
We expect about 2.4 goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
When is Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
Monday 16 November 2026, 18:15 Nigerian time (WAT) – Friendlies.