Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction: Over 1.5 goals
We expect about 2.7 goals, above the 1.5 line. 76% in our numbers. At 1.22 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Home advantage and form make Iceland firm favourites here at 70%. In the Europe UEFA Nations League table, Iceland sit 1st (11 pts) and Luxembourg 4th (3 pts).
Form check
Iceland arrive with three wins from their last six games (W D W W D L). Last time out they beat Bulgaria 5–0 away. Goals are not a problem: 2.0 a game in that spell. Add 4 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.
Luxembourg arrive with two wins from their last six games (L L L L W W). Last time out they lost to Estonia 0–1 at home. The worry is at the other end – only 0.5 goals per game.
Past meetings
Most recently (Sep 2026): Luxembourg 0–3 Iceland.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.7 goals (Iceland 2.0, Luxembourg 0.6). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 52%, GG 44%.
Our call
We are backing Over 1.5 goals – 76% in our model, around 1.22 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Iceland 2–0 Luxembourg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Iceland
last 6- W@ Bulgaria5–013 Nov
- D@ Estonia0–06 Oct
- Wv Bulgaria3–03 Oct
- W@ Luxembourg3–029 Sep
- Dv Estonia1–126 Sep
- L@ Argentina0–310 Jun
Luxembourg
last 6- Lv Estonia0–113 Nov
- Lv Bulgaria0–26 Oct
- L@ Estonia0–13 Oct
- Lv Iceland0–329 Sep
- W@ Bulgaria2–126 Sep
- W@ Albania1–06 Jun
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →- 29 Sep 2026Luxembourg0–3Iceland
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 5 | -6 | 3 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Iceland vs Luxembourg?
We tip Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.22.
Who will win Iceland vs Luxembourg?
Our model has Iceland at 70%, the draw at 17% and Luxembourg at 14%.
What is the correct score prediction for Iceland vs Luxembourg?
Our most likely score is Iceland 2–0 Luxembourg.
Will there be goals in Iceland vs Luxembourg?
We expect about 2.7 goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 44%.
When is Iceland vs Luxembourg?
Monday 16 November 2026, 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT), at Ice Rink Laugardalur – UEFA Nations League.