Europe UEFA Nations League Mon 16 Nov 2026 · Europa Sports Park Upcoming

Gibraltar vs Malta prediction: Under 3.5 goals

9jaTips verdict Under 3.5 goals

We see 2.1 goals, which stays under 3.5. Chance: 80%. Fairly priced at 1.22.

80%chance Odds1.22 Score0–1

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Odds board

Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pick

Match result

1 · Gibraltar8.5021% X · Draw3.9023% 2 · Malta1.4557%

Double chance

1X2.6243% 121.2577% X21.0579%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3666% Under 1.53.0034%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1540% Under 2.51.6760%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.0020% Under 3.51.2280%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.5040% NG · No1.5060%

Half-time result

HT 17.5018% HT X2.1048% HT 21.9534%

Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.

Match notes

by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips desk

The big picture

Malta edge it on the road (57% against 21%). In the Europe UEFA Nations League table, Gibraltar sit 3rd (2 pts) and Malta 1st (7 pts).

Form check

Recent run for Gibraltar: L W D D D W – two wins in six. Last time out they lost to Andorra 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Add 3 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.

Malta arrive with four wins from their last six games (D W D W W W). Last time out they drew with Eswatini 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Add 3 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.

Past meetings

Most recently (Oct 2026): Malta 1–1 Gibraltar.

Goals outlook

We expect around 2.1 goals (Gibraltar 0.8, Malta 1.3). Expect a tight one: under 2.5 sits at 60%.

Our call

Our tip: Under 3.5 goals – 80% in our model, around 1.22 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Gibraltar 0–1 Malta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.