Gabon vs Lesotho prediction: Under 3.5 goals
A tight game – only about 2.4 goals expected. Chance: 74%. At 1.28 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Home advantage and form make Gabon firm favourites here at 69%. In the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table, Gabon sit 2nd (10 pts) and Lesotho 3rd (4 pts).
Form check
Gabon arrive with one win from their last three games (W L L). Last time out they beat Niger 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lesotho arrive with one win from their last six games (L L L D W D). Last time out they lost to Morocco 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up, though: 0.7 a game.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.4 goals (Gabon 1.8, Lesotho 0.6). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 47%, GG 45%.
Our call
The 9jaTips call is Under 3.5 goals – 74% in our model, around 1.28 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Gabon 1–0 Lesotho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Gabon
last 3- Wv Niger2–029 Sep
- L@ Morocco0–225 Sep
- L@ Uzbekistan1–327 Mar
Lesotho
last 6- Lv Morocco0–229 Sep
- L@ Niger1–225 Sep
- L@ Kenya0–47 Jun
- Dv Kenya1–14 Jun
- Wv Seychelles2–129 Mar
- D@ Seychelles0–026 Mar
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 6 | +24 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gabon | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 4 |  Central African Republic | 6 | -11 | 3 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.28.
Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?
Our model has Gabon at 69%, the draw at 19% and Lesotho at 12%.
What is the correct score prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?
Our most likely score is Gabon 1–0 Lesotho.
Will there be goals in Gabon vs Lesotho?
We expect about 2.4 goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
When is Gabon vs Lesotho?
Friday 13 November 2026, 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT), at Stade de Franceville – Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification.