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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Fri 13 Nov 2026 Full time
0–1
Half-time 0–0
61%Mozambique25%Draw14%Ethiopia

Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction: Over 1.5 goals

9jaTips verdict · Lost ✗ Over 1.5 goals

We expect about 2.3 goals, above the 1.5 line. That gives this tip a 67% chance. Low odds (1.35), so use it in a combo rather than alone.

67%chance Odds1.35 Score2–0

How the fans voted

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Odds board

Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pick

Match result

1 · Mozambique1.6261% X · Draw3.6225% 2 · Ethiopia5.3714%

Double chance

1X1.1186% 121.2475% X22.1839%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3567% Under 1.52.7433%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1742% Under 2.51.6358%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.8222% Under 3.51.1978%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1152% NG · No1.6548%

Half-time result

HT 12.2043% HT X2.0644% HT 26.2513%

Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.

Match notes

by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips desk

The big picture

Mozambique go in as clear favourites (61%) and anything but a home win would be a surprise. In the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table, Mozambique sit 2nd (11 pts) and Ethiopia 4th (4 pts).

Form check

Mozambique arrive with one win from their last three games (W D L). Last time out they beat Sudan 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Recent run for Ethiopia: L L D W W W – three wins in six. Last time out they lost to Senegal 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Add 3 clean sheets and this is a side that is hard to break down.

Goals outlook

We expect around 2.3 goals (Mozambique 1.7, Ethiopia 0.6). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 42%, GG 52%.

Our call (settled)

Our pre-match tip was Over 1.5 goals – 67% in our model, around 1.35 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Mozambique 2–0 Ethiopia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Mozambique

last 3
  • Wv Sudan4–129 Sep
  • Dv Senegal1–125 Sep
  • L@ Indonesia0–19 Jun
1.7scored / game1.0conceded67%GG33%over 2.5

Ethiopia

last 6
  • Lv Senegal0–129 Sep
  • L@ Sudan0–125 Sep
  • Dv Malawi1–19 Jun
  • Wv Malawi1–06 Jun
  • Wv Sao Tome and Principe1–031 Mar
  • W@ Sao Tome and Principe3–027 Mar
1.0scored / game0.5conceded17%GG17%over 2.5

These two have not met in our records.

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Congo DR6402+412
2Tanzania6312+110
3Guinea6303+49
4Ethiopia6114-94

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the 9jaTips prediction for Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

We tip Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.35.

Who will win Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Our model has Mozambique at 61%, the draw at 25% and Ethiopia at 14%.

What is the correct score prediction for Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Our most likely score is Mozambique 2–0 Ethiopia.

Will there be goals in Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

We expect about 2.3 goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.

When is Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Friday 13 November 2026, 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT) – Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification.