Pro Patria vs Castellanzese prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Chances should be few: around 2.2 goals in total. 76% in our numbers. Pro Patria have been up and down (DLD), while Castellanzese are coming off a defeat (LLD). The odds (1.27) are about right.
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Odds board
Bookmaker odds · our chance under each · TIP = our pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Odds from our data feed when this page was built – check your bookmaker before you bet. Where no bookmaker price exists we show our fair odds (100 ÷ chance). 18+.
Match notes
by Ade Ola & the 9jaTips deskThe big picture
Slight edge to Pro Patria on home soil – 55% to 19%, with the draw at 26%. In the Italy Serie D Girone D table, Pro Patria sit 3rd (21 pts) and Castellanzese 4th (19 pts).
Form check
Recent run for Pro Patria: D L D D W W – two wins in six. Last time out they drew with Pistoiese 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up, though: 0.8 a game.
Castellanzese arrive with three wins from their last six games (L L D W W W). Last time out they lost to USD Casatese 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
We expect around 2.2 goals (Pro Patria 1.3, Castellanzese 0.9). Goal markets are finely balanced – over 2.5 44%, GG 51%.
Our call
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals – 76% in our model, around 1.27 with the bookmakers. Most likely score: Pro Patria 1–0 Castellanzese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Pro Patria
last 6- Dv Pistoiese0–08 Nov
- L@ Pavia0–11 Nov
- D@ Leon1–128 Oct
- Dv Correggese1–125 Oct
- W@ USD Casatese2–118 Oct
- Wv Sant'Angelo1–011 Oct
Castellanzese
last 6- Lv USD Casatese0–18 Nov
- L@ Pistoiese2–41 Nov
- Dv Varesina1–125 Oct
- W@ Correggese2–018 Oct
- Wv Arconatese1–011 Oct
- W@ Sant'Angelo2–14 Oct
Past meetings
Full head-to-head →These two have not met in our records.
Serie D Girone D table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 11 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Lentigione | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  USD Casatese | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 11 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Solbiatese | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Crema | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Città di Varese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Correggese | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pontedera | 11 | -16 | 7 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 11 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 11 | -19 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone D predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the 9jaTips prediction for Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?
We tip Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance in our model, with bookmaker odds around 1.27.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?
Our model has Pro Patria at 55%, the draw at 26% and Castellanzese at 19%.
What is the correct score prediction for Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?
Our most likely score is Pro Patria 1–0 Castellanzese.
Will there be goals in Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.2 goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
When is Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT), at Carlo Speroni – Serie D Girone D.