Georgiavs
Hungary
We see 1.7 goals, which stays under 2.5. 70% in our numbers. At 1.50 the bookmakers are paying more than it should be (our fair price is 1.44).
Match centreSaturday 14 November: we have 74 under 2.5 goals tips, with an average chance of 55%. Strongest: Georgia vs Hungary – Under 2.5 goals (70%). So far today: 0 won · 1 lost.
Low projected totals – two goals or fewer. Strongest tips first – tap a match for its match centre.
We see 1.7 goals, which stays under 2.5. 70% in our numbers. At 1.50 the bookmakers are paying more than it should be (our fair price is 1.44).
Match centreA tight game – only about 1.8 goals expected. That gives this tip a 68% chance. The odds (1.48) are about right.
Match centreWe see 2.0 goals, which stays under 2.5. That gives this tip a 68% chance. Chance 68%.
Match centreA tight game – only about 2.0 goals expected. Chance: 67%. Low odds (1.40), so use it in a combo rather than alone.
Match centre74 matches on Saturday 14 November, with an average chance of 55%. Strongest still to play: Georgia vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League) – Under 2.5 goals at 70%. Busiest leagues: England League Two (6), Brazil Serie B (6), Spain Primera División RFEF Group 1 (4). 5 of them have odds bigger than they should be.
Under 2.5 goals wins with two goals or fewer.
0–0, 1–0, 1–1 and 2–0 all win. A late third goal is the danger.
Weak attacks, organised defences and low-scoring leagues.
Every team gets an attack and defence rating from about a year of results. From those we work out how many goals each side should score, then the chance of every result. The odds you see come from the bookmakers; where our chance is bigger than the odds suggest, the tip has value. More on how we predict.
Want a ready-made ticket? See our daily slips, value bets or all markets.
Two goals or fewer in the match.
Not automatically – compare our chance with the odds.
We rate every team from its recent results, work out the goals we expect in each match and turn that into a chance for under 2.5 goals. The strongest chances are listed first.
It is how often we expect the tip to land. 70% means about seven times in ten – and three losses in ten.
Never. Every tip settles on the 90-minute score and yesterday stays on the Yesterday tab.