Luxembourgvs
Estonia
Chances should be few: around 1.9 goals in total. 83% in our numbers. Fairly priced at 1.17.
Match centreFriday 13 November: we have 105 under 3.5 goals tips, with an average chance of 66%. Strongest: Luxembourg vs Estonia – Under 3.5 goals (83%). So far today: 1 won · 3 lost.
Totals projected to stay at three or fewer. Strongest tips first – tap a match for its match centre.
Chances should be few: around 1.9 goals in total. 83% in our numbers. Fairly priced at 1.17.
Match centreChances should be few: around 1.8 goals in total. That gives this tip a 83% chance. Fairly priced at 1.20.
Match centreA tight game – only about 1.9 goals expected. Chance: 84%. Ponferradina have been up and down (DDD). Fairly priced at 1.17.
Match centreWe see 2.2 goals, which stays under 3.5. 80% in our numbers. At 1.15 it is short – better as one leg of an accumulator.
Match centre105 matches on Friday 13 November, with an average chance of 66%. Strongest still to play: Luxembourg vs Estonia (UEFA Nations League) – Under 3.5 goals at 83%. Busiest leagues: Friendlies (13), Africa Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification (11), Europe UEFA Nations League (9). 7 of them have odds bigger than they should be.
Under 3.5 goals wins with three goals or fewer.
1–0, 2–1 and 3–0 win; 2–2 and 3–1 lose. Odds are usually 1.15 to 1.40.
Games without a stand-out attack and with at least one solid defence.
Every team gets an attack and defence rating from about a year of results. From those we work out how many goals each side should score, then the chance of every result. The odds you see come from the bookmakers; where our chance is bigger than the odds suggest, the tip has value. More on how we predict.
Want a ready-made ticket? See our daily slips, value bets or all markets.
Three goals or fewer.
When there are four goals or more, e.g. 3–1 or 2–2.
We rate every team from its recent results, work out the goals we expect in each match and turn that into a chance for under 3.5 goals. The strongest chances are listed first.
It is how often we expect the tip to land. 70% means about seven times in ten – and three losses in ten.
Never. Every tip settles on the 90-minute score and yesterday stays on the Yesterday tab.